Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
YES price
100¢
per share
NO price
0¢
per share
About this market
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Heroic and Virtus.pro in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 20 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win Game 1 against Virtus.pro. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win Game 1 against Heroic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
How Clairvoyant analyzes this market
Three AI agents — Claude (Anthropic), Gemini (Google DeepMind), and Grok (xAI) — independently score this market using real-time web data and historical base rates. Their probability estimates are weighted by a proprietary accuracy model and combined into a consensus probability.
When the consensus diverges from the current market price by more than a minimum threshold, it surfaces as a trade opportunity. Kelly Criterion then sizes the position based on the magnitude of the edge — larger gaps produce larger positions, within hard portfolio caps.
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