LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 1 Winner
YES price
100¢
per share
NO price
0¢
per share
About this market
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket round 1 match between Natus Vincere and Galions in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 28 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Galions. This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
How Clairvoyant analyzes this market
Three AI agents — Claude (Anthropic), Gemini (Google DeepMind), and Grok (xAI) — independently score this market using real-time web data and historical base rates. Their probability estimates are weighted by a proprietary accuracy model and combined into a consensus probability.
When the consensus diverges from the current market price by more than a minimum threshold, it surfaces as a trade opportunity. Kelly Criterion then sizes the position based on the magnitude of the edge — larger gaps produce larger positions, within hard portfolio caps.
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