UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)
YES price
20¢
per share
NO price
80¢
per share
About this market
This market will resolve to "Alexander Hernandez" if Alexander Hernandez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafa Garcia at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafa Garcia" if Rafa Garcia is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
How Clairvoyant analyzes this market
Three AI agents — Claude (Anthropic), Gemini (Google DeepMind), and Grok (xAI) — independently score this market using real-time web data and historical base rates. Their probability estimates are weighted by a proprietary accuracy model and combined into a consensus probability.
When the consensus diverges from the current market price by more than a minimum threshold, it surfaces as a trade opportunity. Kelly Criterion then sizes the position based on the magnitude of the edge — larger gaps produce larger positions, within hard portfolio caps.
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