UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)

YES price

per share

NO price

100¢

per share

$181K 24h volume$185K liquidity$209K total volumeResolves May 3, 2026

About this market

This market will resolve to "Beneil Dariush" if Beneil Dariush is officially declared the winner of the fight against Quillan Salkilld at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Quillan Salkilld" if Quillan Salkilld is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

AI Consensus Analysis

AI consensus is locked

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How Clairvoyant analyzes this market

Three AI agents — Claude (Anthropic), Gemini (Google DeepMind), and Grok (xAI) — independently score this market using real-time web data and historical base rates. Their probability estimates are weighted by a proprietary accuracy model and combined into a consensus probability.

When the consensus diverges from the current market price by more than a minimum threshold, it surfaces as a trade opportunity. Kelly Criterion then sizes the position based on the magnitude of the edge — larger gaps produce larger positions, within hard portfolio caps.

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