UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
YES price
51¢
per share
NO price
50¢
per share
About this market
This market will resolve to "Carlos Prates" if Carlos Prates is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jack Della Maddalena at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Jack Della Maddalena" if Jack Della Maddalena is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
How Clairvoyant analyzes this market
Three AI agents — Claude (Anthropic), Gemini (Google DeepMind), and Grok (xAI) — independently score this market using real-time web data and historical base rates. Their probability estimates are weighted by a proprietary accuracy model and combined into a consensus probability.
When the consensus diverges from the current market price by more than a minimum threshold, it surfaces as a trade opportunity. Kelly Criterion then sizes the position based on the magnitude of the edge — larger gaps produce larger positions, within hard portfolio caps.
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