UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

YES price

61¢

per share

NO price

40¢

per share

$264K 24h volume$183K liquidity$342K total volumeResolves April 19, 2026

About this market

This market will resolve to "Mandel Nallo" if Mandel Nallo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jai Herbert at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Jai Herbert" if Jai Herbert is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

AI Consensus Analysis

AI consensus is locked

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How Clairvoyant analyzes this market

Three AI agents — Claude (Anthropic), Gemini (Google DeepMind), and Grok (xAI) — independently score this market using real-time web data and historical base rates. Their probability estimates are weighted by a proprietary accuracy model and combined into a consensus probability.

When the consensus diverges from the current market price by more than a minimum threshold, it surfaces as a trade opportunity. Kelly Criterion then sizes the position based on the magnitude of the edge — larger gaps produce larger positions, within hard portfolio caps.

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